Adjunct Professor, University of California - Santa Barbara

Contact Information
University of California - Santa Barbara
3221 Calle Mariposa
Santa Barbara, CA 93105
Phone: 8054510950
Email: duncan@pstat.ucsb.edu
Dr. Duncan is Adjunct Professor of Actuarial Statistics at the University of California Santa Barbara and president of Santa Barbara Actuaries Inc. From 2010 to 2014 he served as Vice President, Clinical Outcomes, Analytics and Reporting at the Walgreens Company. He founded Solucia Consulting (now SCIO Health Analytics), a provider of analytical and consulting services to the healthcare financing industry in 1998. Dr. Duncan holds a graduate degree in economics from Balliol College, Oxford and a PhD in Statistics from Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh. He is a fellow of the Society of Actuaries, the Institute of Actuaries (London), the Conference of Consulting Actuaries and the Canadian Institute of Actuaries, and a Member of the American Academy of Actuaries. He is active in public policy and healthcare reform, and served on the board of directors of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts Health Insurance Connector Authority from 2007-2014. He was also a member of the board of the Society of Actuaries (2012-5) and 2022-5. Since 2011 he has been an Adjunct Professor in the Department of Statistics & Applied Probability at UCSB, where he teaches courses in financial mathematics and life contingencies and a graduate seminar in actuarial research. He is the author of numerous peer-reviewed papers, and several books and book chapters. His last book, a second edition of “Healthcare Risk Adjustment and Predictive Modeling” (Actex Publications) was published in 2018.


CCA Member Since 2015

004 - Professionalism and Ethics for Healthcare Actuaries 2024 CCA Annual Meeting (October 29, 2024)

Professionalism for Healthcare Actuaries 2022 CCA Annual Meeting (October 18, 2022)

Professionalism for Healthcare Actuaries 2021 CCA Annual Meeting (October 26, 2021)

Global Wellness, Mental Health, and Impact on Employee Productivity 2020 CCA Virtual Annual Meeting (October 28, 2020)

Professionalism for Healthcare Actuaries 2020 CCA Virtual Annual Meeting (October 20, 2020)

The Impact of Economics on Healthcare Trends 2019 CCA Annual Meeting (October 29, 2019)

National Health Care Models Around the World — Design, Funding and Risk Adjustment Mechanisms 2017 CCA Annual Meeting (October 24, 2017)

Chronic Condition Management and ROI 2016 CCA Annual Meeting (October 26, 2016)

Big Data: Enter the Matrix 2016 CCA Annual Meeting (October 24, 2016)

Are Health Population Programs Worth It? Are Health Population Programs Worth It? Audio/Webcast (May 11, 2016)

Health Actuary of the Future 2015 Health Reform Meeting (April 16, 2015)

Actuaries on the Frontier: Traditional Actuaries in Non-Traditional Roles 2014 CCA Annual Meeting (October 20, 2014)

Managing Disease Management 2008 CCA Annual Meeting (October 29, 2008)